Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0758 PM CDT Fri Oct 09 2026
Valid 100100Z - 101200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM PARTS OF THE
FLORIDA PANHANDLE INTO SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AND SOUTHWEST GEORGIA...
...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms associated with Hurricane Isaias will move inland this
evening into the overnight. Rotating cells could be associated with
a tornado threat, mainly from the Florida Panhandle northward into
southeast Alabama and southwest Georgia.
...DISCUSSION...
The center of Hurricane Isaias is currently near the Florida coast.
The primary band of rainfall is north of the Isaias' center over the
western Florida Panhandle. A second rainband extends from the
eastern Florida Panhandle southward along the coast of the
northwestern Florida Peninsula. Thunderstorms will continue to form
within these rainbands and move northward over land this evening.
The latest WSR-88D VWPs in the Florida Panhandle have strong
low-level shear profiles with large looped hodographs. This will
support the development of rotating storms with tornado potential,
mainly with cells that remain semi-discrete. The tornado threat is
expected to continue through this evening into overnight period,
with the threat gradually moving northward into southeast Alabama
and southwestern Georgia.
..Broyles.. 10/10/2026
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