Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0648 PM CST Wed Jan 21 2026
Valid 220100Z - 221200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Isolated thunderstorms may occur across parts of far east Texas into
the lower Mississippi Valley today and tonight. Additionally, a few
lightning strikes may be possible late tonight across southeast
Florida.
... 01Z Update...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected across the United States this
evening and tonight. A few lightning strikes may be possible across
a couple different areas.
... Far East Texas into the Lower Mississippi Valley ...
A mid-level short-wave trough continues to through the larger-scale
eastern US trough. Modest low-level warm advection associated with
this short-wave trough will continue to support showers and a
lightning strike or two across the area tonight.
... Southeast Florida ...
A subtle short-wave trough and associated mid-level speed maximum
will move northeast from the Gulf across northern Florida within the
subtropical jet. Modest large-scale ascent associated with the right
entrance region of this speed max may support showers and perhaps a
thunderstorm or two very late tonight.
..Marsh.. 01/22/2026
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