Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0626 AM CDT Mon Sep 29 2025
Valid 291300Z - 301200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorm potential is low today and tonight.
...Synopsis...
Weak flow aloft and limited large-scale forcing mechanisms will be
present today over most of the nation, while an upper trough moves
into the Pacific Northwest region. Scattered afternoon
thunderstorms will be possible over the central and southern
Rockies, and along a cold front as it moves into parts of NV/ID and
vicinity. In both areas, limited low-level moisture and weak
instability should preclude severe thunderstorm activity.
TS Imelda is expected to strengthen off the FL coast today, but
remain well offshore. While a few thunderstorms will be possible in
distant outer bands from much of FL into the NC/SC/GA coast, the
risk of strong/severe storms is low.
..Hart/Grams.. 09/29/2025
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