Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0733 PM CDT Wed Jun 04 2025
Valid 050100Z - 051200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF
THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS...
...SUMMARY...
Isolated severe thunderstorms are expected this evening across
portions of the southern High Plains. Large hail and severe wind
gusts are the primary concerns.
...01z Update...
Upper low that was located over the northern Baja Peninsula early
this morning has deamplified and quickly sheared northeast as it
tracks into western NM. Large-scale ascent ahead of this feature
appears to be aiding several thunderstorm clusters along the Sangre
de Cristo range, and more isolated activity now across the high
Plains of northeast NM. ICECHIP sounding from TCC earlier this
afternoon exhibited strong, deep-layer shear (50kt through 6km),
with substantial veering in the lowest 1km. While buoyancy is not
particularly strong on 00z sounding from AMA, wind profiles favor
supercells and this activity should spread across northeast NM
toward the southern TX Panhandle later this evening. Some longevity
is expected as a LLJ is expected to increase across the High Plains
after sunset. Hail and wind are the primary concerns.
..Darrow.. 06/05/2025
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