Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0616 AM CST Sat Mar 01 2025
Valid 011300Z - 021200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Isolated thunderstorms may develop over parts of northern Arizona.
...AZ...
Morning water vapor loop shows an upper low off the coast of
southern CA approaching SAN. This feature will track eastward into
southwest AZ by this evening. The low-level environment will be
quite dry across AZ, limiting coverage of precipitation later today.
However, steep lapse rates near the upper low and rather strong
forcing in the left-front quadrant of an approaching mid/upper jet
max may encourage widely scattered showers and a few thunderstorms
over parts of northern and central AZ - mainly late this afternoon
into the evening. Very weak instability will preclude a risk of
severe storms.
..Hart/Grams.. 03/01/2025
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