LIVE MAP (ABOVE) ... SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1200 AM CST Sun Jan 29 2023
Valid 301200Z - 311200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not forecast on Monday.
...Synopsis and Discussion...
Isolated thunderstorms may occur Monday across parts of the
Southeast along and south of a cold front. With enhanced west-
southwesterly flow aloft expected to persist across this region,
this front should make only slow southeastward progress during the
day. Eventually the cold front will clear the East Coast and reach
much of the Gulf Coast as surface high pressure builds over the
central and eastern CONUS. Weak low-level convergence along the
front and a lack of large-scale ascent aloft should keep overall
thunderstorm coverage low, with the best chances for isolated
lightning flashes Monday morning.
Elevated convection also appears possible Monday across parts of the
southern Plains into the lower MS Valley. Some of this activity may
occur as early as Monday morning well to the north of a surface cold
front which is forecast to be located along/near the TX Coast.
Low-level warm/moist advection centered near the 850 mb front should
be the primary forcing mechanism, with MUCAPE expected to remain
less than 500 J/kg. Other thunderstorms may occur across parts of
central into south-central TX late Monday night into early Tuesday
morning as a southerly low-level jet gradually strengthens.
..Gleason.. 01/29/2023
Read more CHECK UPDATE ZOOM GRAPHIC
http://dlvr.it/ShcC5k
