LIVE MAP (ABOVE) ... SPC 0600Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1233 AM CDT Sun Oct 30 2022
Valid 311200Z - 011200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Severe potential is expected to remain low on Monday.
...Synopsis...
A shortwave mid/upper trough over the Mid-MS Valley Monday morning
will shift northeast across the Ohio Valley toward the lower Great
Lakes. Meanwhile, a second upper shortwave trough over northwest
Mexico and the southern Rockies will shift east across TX. A broad
area of deep-layer southwesterly flow will overspread the Southeast
toward the Mid-Atlantic. This warm advection regime and modest
large-scale ascent associated with the Midwest trough will allow for
isolated thunderstorms ahead of an eastward-advancing cold front
through the period across portions of the Southeast/Mid-Atlantic.
Weak instability and poor midlevel lapse rates will limit severe
potential despite modest vertical shear. A couple of strong storms
could result in gusty winds across GA/SC, but overall severe
potential is expected to remain low.
Easterly low-level flow across south TX and the middle/lower Rio
Grande Valley ahead of the northwest Mexico/southern Rockies will
transport Gulf moisture westward. Higher-quality boundary-layer
dewpoints will remain confined to south TX. Increasing ascent and
moderate vertical shear will support isolated thunderstorms within a
weakly unstable airmass. A couple of strong storms could produce
gusty winds or small hail across far south TX late in the period, in
addition to heavy rain. However, severe potential is expected to be
limited by modest instability and some weak inhibition.
..Leitman.. 10/30/2022
Read more CHECK UPDATE ZOOM GRAPHIC
http://dlvr.it/SbxCbc
