LIVE MAP (ABOVE) ... SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1217 AM CDT Sun Oct 30 2022
Valid 301200Z - 311200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorm potential is expected to be low today.
...Synopsis...
A midlevel cyclone is forecast to weaken today as it moves from
northern AR toward the Great Lakes region. An upstream midlevel
shortwave trough will move across the southern Plains through the
day, and may develop into midlevel cyclone tonight near the Ozark
Plateau. A weak surface low is forecast to move from AR toward the
lower OH Valley, as a cold front moves through portions of the
Southeast. A surface ridge will persist along the eastern seaboard,
which will generally inhibit the northward progression of richer
low-level moisture in advance of the surface low and cold front.
...FL Panhandle and vicinity...
A narrow zone of upper 60s to near 70 F dewpoints may spread inland
across coastal regions of the FL Peninsula through the day. However,
weak midlevel lapse rates will limit buoyancy, and large-scale
ascent is expected to diminish with time as the primary midlevel
cyclone weakens and moves away from the region. As a result,
convection is generally expected to remain weak along/ahead of the
front, despite modestly favorable wind profiles across the warm
sector. While a strong storm cannot be ruled out near the coast,
severe potential still appears too limited to introduce
probabilities.
..Dean.. 10/30/2022
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