Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0343 AM CDT Sun Jul 17 2022
Valid 201200Z - 251200Z
...DISCUSSION...
Medium-range model guidance is in general agreement in depicting a
mid-level trough over the Great Lakes on Wednesday (day 4) and into
the Northeast on Thursday (day 5). Convective coverage and
intensity remain unclear in the Great Lakes/OH Valley on Wednesday.
Models are showing a fairly moist/unstable boundary layer over the
Northeast on Thursday coincident with the mid-level trough passage.
By the latter part of the extended period, the mid-level ridge will
encompass a large part of the southern CONUS with low-amplitude flow
to the north.
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