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Archives for the SPC Convective Outlook are updated daily (approximately) with a live map at the beginning of each article. Follow the link at the end of the article to check for current updates on the NOAA/NWS Storm Prediction Center website. Also, see Archives for Chicago's hourly weather data on CARDINAL NEWS Magazine.


Friday, May 6, 2022

SPC May 6, 2022 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1131 AM CDT Fri May 06 2022 Valid 061630Z - 071200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST STATES...SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS TO MID-ATLANTIC... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms are expected across parts of the Southeast to Ohio Valley and Tidewater region today. Damaging winds, hail and a few tornadoes are possible into this evening. ...Southeast States/southern Appalachians to Mid-Atlantic States... Initially, severe storms will remain possible especially across far southern Alabama and the Florida Panhandle along an earlier outflow-related effective boundary. Surface-based severe storm/tornado potential will also increase over time to the north/northeast across more of Georgia and north Florida, as this region steadily moistens/recovers in the wake of an early morning squall line, and ahead of an eastward-moving cold front. For additional short-term details, see Mesoscale Discussion 672. With a further strengthening of mid/high-level winds in association with the upstream vort/speed max, deep-layer/low-level shear will support supercells and other organized storm modes capable of damaging winds, large hail, and a few tornadoes. A regional maximized severe-weather/tornado potential is also expected to focus across northern North Carolina and southern Virginia later today in vicinity of a northward-shifting warm front and late-day development secondary surface low. This potentially includes multiple rounds of storms in some areas, including supercells and bowing segments with damaging winds and tornadoes in addition to isolated large hail, mostly in association with rotating storms. ..Guyer/Kerr.. 05/06/2022 Read more CHECK UPDATE ZOOM GRAPHIC
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CHICAGO UTC-6 during CST (Central Standard Time, e.g., winter)
CHICAGO UTC-5 during CDT (Daylight Savings Time, e.g., summer)