SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0758 PM CDT Sun Apr 10 2022
Valid 110100Z - 111200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM NORTHERN OK
INTO SOUTHWEST MO...NEAR AND NORTH OF THE I-44 CORRIDOR...
...SUMMARY...
A few severe thunderstorms are expected later tonight near and north
of the I-44 corridor from northern Oklahoma into southwest Missouri.
Large hail and damaging winds will be the main threats.
...OK into southeast KS and southwest MO...
Thunderstorm development is still expected later this evening across
northern OK into southeast KS/southwest MO, as a strengthening
low-level jet impinges on a slow-moving cold front. Very steep
midlevel lapse rates (as noted on regional 00Z soundings) and
moderate effective shear will support a hail threat with the initial
development, with some upscale growth and a modest increase in
damaging wind potential possible later in the convective evolution.
While convection will likely be mostly elevated, a brief tornado or
two will be possible with any cell/cluster that is sustained near
the surface boundary. Convection will likely weaken as it moves into
east-central MO late in the period, though buoyancy will likely
remain sufficient to support a lingering hail threat into early
Monday morning.
...Parts of central/south TX...
Isolated thunderstorms have developed this evening across parts of
south TX, within an environment characterized by very warm (90s F)
temperatures, moderate MLCAPE (1000-1500 J/kg), and effective shear
of 35-45 kt. These storms will pose a short-term threat for isolated
hail and downburst winds, but increasing MLCINH downstream of these
storms should result in a weakening trend after sunset.
..Dean.. 04/11/2022
Read more CHECK UPDATE ZOOM GRAPHIC
http://dlvr.it/SNLh0P
