Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0311 AM CDT Tue Mar 29 2022
Valid 011200Z - 061200Z
...DISCUSSION...
Previous frontal intrusion and an expansive area of high pressure
will result in dry and stable conditions across the majority of the
central and eastern CONUS on D4/Friday. Low-level moisture and
attendant buoyancy will likely remain confined to the Gulf Coast on
D5/Saturday, before potentially returning northward across the
southern Plains on D6/Sunday. Medium-range guidance remains
inconsistent with the overall pattern evolution this weekend, but
some thunderstorm potential could correspond with this returning
low-level moisture if the shortwaves are timed favorably.
Guidance is beginning to show the development of western CONUS
troughing early next week. Differences within the guidance lead to
limited predictability right now, but some severe potential will
likely result once this troughing interacts with the moisture
returning across the Plains.
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