SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0254 PM CDT Fri Mar 25 2022
Valid 252000Z - 261200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected across the U.S. today or
tonight.
No changes were made to the outlook at 20Z. For more information
regarding low-topped convection producing strong wind gusts, see
mesoscale discussion 337.
..Jewell.. 03/25/2022
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1130 AM CDT Fri Mar 25 2022/
...Discussion...
Very isolated lightning flashes could occur from mid-afternoon
through around sunset across parts of the Midwest, including
portions of southern Wisconsin and northern Illinois into northern
Indiana and possibly far southwest Lower Michigan. This would be
associated with shallow/very low-topped convection near and ahead of
a clipper-type shortwave trough. Presuming some cloud breaks and
modest diurnal heating, thermodynamic profiles could support
lightning flashes on an isolated basis until around sunset.
Elsewhere, convective potential will remain virtually nil across the
remainder of the CONUS, although a lightning flash or two could
occur through early afternoon across northeast North Carolina.
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