SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0202 AM CST Mon Jan 24 2022
Valid 261200Z - 271200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Isolated thunderstorms are possible across portions of central and
southern Florida Wednesday.
...Synopsis and Discussion...
Broadly cyclonic flow aloft is forecast to be in place across the
central and eastern CONUS early Wednesday. A series of embedded
shortwave troughs are expected to traverse trough this cyclonic
flow, helping to maintain upper troughing across the central and
eastern CONUS into early Thursday. At the same time, upper ridging
will build eastward into more of the West Coast, contributing to a
more amplified upper pattern across the western CONUS by Thursday
morning.
An expansive area of high pressure will dominate the sensible
weather across much of the central and eastern CONUS. The only
exception is across central and southern FL, where modest low-level
moisture will be in place ahead of weak cold front. Isolated
thunderstorms are possible over this region as the cold front
gradually shifts southward. Instability will be modest, tempered by
warm mid-level temperatures and limited diurnal heating, but
enhanced flow aloft will contribute to moderate vertical shear and
the potential for a strong storm or two. Even so, the relatively
modest environmental conditions coupled with limited predictability
regarding frontal position/timing and overall buoyancy preclude
introducing any severe probabilities with this forecast.
..Mosier.. 01/24/2022
Read more CHECK UPDATE ZOOM GRAPHIC
http://dlvr.it/SHhw4w
