SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0244 PM CDT Fri Oct 01 2021 Valid 012000Z - 021200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM A PORTION OF SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO INTO SOUTHWEST TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... Marginally severe hail is possible across parts of southeast New Mexico to west Texas this afternoon through early evening. ...Discussion... Only minor adjustments have been made to previous forecast for this update. ..Dial.. 10/01/2021 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1130 AM CDT Fri Oct 01 2021/ ...Southeast New Mexico/West Texas... A southern-stream closed low centered over New Mexico will continue eastward today, progressively opening and reaching west/northwest Texas this evening. A belt of moderately strong (35-45 kt) southwesterly mid-level winds and mid-level cold pocket (-14C at 500 mb) will overspread a modestly moist/unstable air mass across southeast New Mexico into West Texas this afternoon and early evening. Strong-to-severe relatively low-topped thunderstorms are expected to develop and increase through mid/late afternoon. Some marginally severe hail will be possible. Read more LIVE: spc.noaa.gov
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