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Archives for the SPC Convective Outlook are updated daily (approximately) with a live map at the beginning of each article. Follow the link at the end of the article to check for current updates on the NOAA/NWS Storm Prediction Center website. Also, see Archives for Chicago's hourly weather data on CARDINAL NEWS Magazine.

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Sunday, November 15, 2026

SPC Nov 15, 2026 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

LIVE MAP (ABOVE) ... SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook


Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1007 AM CST Sun Nov 15 2026

Valid 151630Z - 161200Z

...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING ALONG THE MIDDLE TEXAS GULF COAST...

...SUMMARY...
A strong thunderstorm or two may affect the middle Texas coast this
afternoon and evening.

...Middle Texas Gulf Coast...
Overall, the risk of severe storms appears to have diminished for
later today. Scattered intense thunderstorms have been occurring
offshore over the warm shelf waters, but that activity is not
expected to build westward and inland. Other showers and
thunderstorms associated with an approaching cold front over central
TX will move into the CRP/HOU areas later today, but the air mass is
only marginally unstable with dewpoints only in the 50s. A strong
storm or two capable of gusty winds may occur around/after sunset as
the front approaches the coast, but the overall threat appears
rather low.

..Hart/Halbert-E.. 11/15/2026


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