Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0800 PM CDT Wed Apr 01 2026
Valid 020100Z - 021200Z
...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PORTIONS OF
NORTHWEST TEXAS...OKLAHOMA...AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS...
...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms with damaging wind gusts, large hail and
tornado potential will continue across the southern and central
Plains this evening and overnight. Strong storms are also possible
from parts of the Ohio Valley, central Appalachians and
Mid-Atlantic.
... 01Z Update ...
Severe thunderstorms with a history of damaging winds are currently
located across southwest Oklahoma. This complex will continue to
move northeast this evening, aided by mesoscale circulations
associated with a mesolow/MCV across western Oklahoma. As the
low-level jet increases this evening, an increase in tornado
potential will be possible across portions of Tornado Watch #86. See
Mesoscale Discussion #325 for more information.
Elsewhere, clusters of strong-to-severe thunderstorms will be
possible across southeast Kansas into southwest Missouri along a
surface boundary. Although deep-layer shear is somewhat less than
areas to the south and west, the presence of a low-level boundary,
an increasing low-level jet, and sufficient low-level instability
will continue to support some severe potential -- including
tornadoes -- for several more hours.
A hail and wind threat will also persist for several more hours
across southwest Texas where MUCAPE values between 1000-1500 J/kg
and deep-layer shear around 40 knots will support at least some
supercell threat.
..Marsh.. 04/02/2026
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