Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0706 PM CST Fri Mar 06 2026
Valid 070100Z - 071200Z
...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRIMARILY FROM
EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND KANSAS INTO WESTERN MISSOURI AND NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS...
...SUMMARY...
Scattered severe storms remain possible primarily from northeast
Oklahoma into Kansas, Missouri and Iowa, with isolated severe storms
extending from central Texas to Lower Michigan. Scattered hail,
damaging winds, and a few tornadoes remain possible.
...Discussion...
The most active area of tornado threat is currently with a cluster
of storms over northeast OK. This activity may continue to evolve
this evening as the low-level jet increases, and shear remains
favorable into eastern KS and southwest MO. The TOP and SGF 00Z
soundings continue to show wind profiles favorable for tornadic
cells.
To the north along the cold front, an unstable air mass remains
ahead of it, although the front will quickly undercut much of the
area as it continues south. However, brief supercells may occur
along the boundary, with wind and tornado threat, and, elevated hail
will remain possible well behind the front.
For more information about KS into IA, see mesoscale discussion
0152.
For information on northeast OK, see mesoscale discussion 0153.
For information on northern IN into southern Lower MI, see mesoscale
discussion 0154.
..Jewell.. 03/07/2026
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