Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0153 PM CST Mon Jan 05 2026
Valid 052000Z - 061200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected through tonight.
...20Z Update...
There are no changes made to the outlook for this issuance.
..Broyles.. 01/05/2026
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1024 AM CST Mon Jan 05 2026/
...Discussion...
A progressive low-amplitude flow regime will persist over the CONUS,
with split flow along the West Coast including a southern-stream
upper low off the coast of California. Semi-steep mid-level lapse
rates exist in proximity to the upper low near the north-central
California coast, with related isolated thunderstorm potential
mainly early today. However, this thermodynamically conducive
environment will trend less favorable over time. Additionally, a few
lightning flashes may occur today across the central Rockies in
association with an eastward-moving shortwave trough.
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