Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1200 AM CST Sat Nov 08 2025
Valid 081200Z - 091200Z
...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM FAR EASTERN
GEORGIA INTO THE CAROLINAS...
...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms capable of marginally severe hail and isolated severe
wind gusts will be possible this afternoon and evening across parts
of far eastern Georgia and the Carolinas.
...Far Eastern Georgia/Carolinas...
At mid-levels, a trough will move quickly eastward into the Ozarks
today, as southwesterly cyclonic flow remains over much of the
eastern U.S. At the surface, a warm front will move into southern
North Carolina, as a moist airmass advects northward to the south of
the front. Surface dewpoints across this airmass will be in the 60s
F, and weak instability is expected to develop during the afternoon.
Isolated thunderstorms will be possible as the mid-level system
approaches. In the late afternoon, RAP forecast soundings near
Charleston, South Carolina have MUCAPE increasing to around 1200
J/kg, with 0-6 km shear near 50 knots. In addition, low-level lapse
rates are forecast to be steep in the lowest 1 km. This environment
could support marginally severe wind gusts and hail. Later this
evening, a band of storms is forecast to develop across the
Carolinas along the northwestern edge of the moist airmass. Along
this southwest-to-northeast corridor, a marginal severe threat may
be maintained through the evening as a low-level jet becomes
focused. However, the primary threat could gradually transition to
hail, as a sharp low-level temperature inversion develops.
..Broyles/Supinie.. 11/08/2025
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