Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0636 AM CST Mon Nov 24 2025
Valid 241300Z - 251200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THIS
AFTERNOON THROUGH THE NIGHT ACROSS PARTS OF EAST
TEXAS...LOUISIANA...AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI....
...SUMMARY...
Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible from mid-afternoon into
the overnight hours from east Texas into central/southern
Mississippi.
...TX/LA/MS...
A large upper trough is moving eastward across the southern Plains
this morning, with an associated 60-70 knot mid level jet expected
to track into AR by evening. At the surface, a warm front currently
extends from southeast TX to just off the LA coast. This boundary
will lift northward through the day, with a moist and moderately
unstable air mass spreading inland. A combination of diurnal
destabilization and the approaching upper trough will lead to
convective intensification by early afternoon over east TX. These
initial storms will pose a risk of large hail and perhaps some gusty
winds and a tornado or two.
As the activity spreads eastward after dark, rather strong low-level
shear profiles in vicinity of the warm front will maintain a risk of
severe storms through much of the night across central LA and
southern MS. Damaging winds and a few tornadoes will be possible.
..Hart/Broyles.. 11/24/2025
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