Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0255 PM CDT Thu Oct 02 2025
Valid 022000Z - 031200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected across the continental U.S.
today or tonight.
...20Z Update...
The forecast remains on track, and minimal changes were made with
this update. See the previous discussion below for details.
..Weinman.. 10/02/2025
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1130 AM CDT Thu Oct 02 2025/
...Discussion...
An upper trough will continue to amplify and build southward along
the West Coast, with preceding height falls over the Great Basin and
northern Intermountain West. Sufficient moisture will exist ahead of
a cold front, with marginal buoyancy supportive of isolated
thunderstorms later today and especially into tonight from the
Sierra and Great Basin toward the northern Rockies. A couple of
stronger storms could materialize, but severe storms are not
expected. Elsewhere, thunderstorms will also be possible across the
Upper Midwest and Lake Superior vicinity, in addition to Florida and
the Lower/Middle Mississippi Valley.
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