Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1017 AM CST Fri Feb 07 2025
Valid 071630Z - 081200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected through tonight.
...Discussion...
Progressive largely zonal mid/upper-level flow will exist over the
CONUS, with amplifying shortwave troughs from the northern
Intermountain West to northern Plains, as well as over the coastal
Pacific Northwest and northern California. Prevalent high pressure
from the Midwest to coastal Southeast will considerably limit
thunderstorm potential through tonight. Potential exceptions today
include the possibility of a few lightning flashes across parts of
Georgia and South Carolina near/north of the remnant front, but
overall potential will remain limited (near 10 percent). Isolated
lightning flashes could also occur across southern Idaho, northern
Utah, and western Wyoming. Related to the amplifying shortwave
trough, strong forcing for ascent and cold mid-level temperatures
could yield a few lightning flashes through early afternoon, prior
to the shortwave trough exiting the region.
..Guyer/Moore.. 02/07/2025
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