Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0630 PM CST Tue Jan 14 2025
Valid 150100Z - 151200Z
...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms are not expected tonight.
...01z Update...
Weak mid-level disturbance is ejecting across northeast Mexico
toward deep south TX early this evening. This feature should
encourage weak elevated convection along the cool side of an
offshore coastal boundary tonight. 00z sounding from BRO exhibits a
modestly steep 3-6km lapse rate (7 C/km), and while moist, MUCAPE is
only 100 J/kg. Lapse rates will likely remain a bit too weak, given
the moisture, for updrafts to attain heights necessary for lightning
discharge.
..Darrow.. 01/15/2025
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