Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0748 PM CDT Mon Oct 14 2024
Valid 150100Z - 151200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected tonight.
...Discussion...
Isolated thunderstorms remain possible, mainly this evening, across
the Four Corners States ahead of a weak mid-level trough drifting
southeast over the southern Great Basin. Lake-effect showers and
embedded thunderstorms should remain most prevalent over Lake MI,
but will also be possible south of Lake Huron and Erie. Steep
mid-level lapse rates, sampled by the 00Z GRB/DTX soundings, will
slowly slide south atop the relatively warm waters and support weak
buoyancy for sporadic lightning flashes.
..Grams.. 10/15/2024
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