Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0706 PM CST Sun Feb 11 2024
Valid 120100Z - 121200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN LA ACROSS CENTRAL/SOUTHERN MS INTO CENTRAL AL...
...SUMMARY...
The risk of severe storms will continue overnight from southern
Louisiana across central/southern Mississippi into central Alabama.
...01Z Update...
...Lower MS Valley across the Southeast...
00Z surface analysis places a low across east-central LA, with a
warm front extending east-northeastward through central AL. Much of
the thunderstorm activity continues to be north of this boundary,
with large hail as the primary hazard. This general trend is
expected to continue throughout the night, with an attendant threat
for hail remaining throughout the night as well. Development south
of the warm front remains more questionable, but the environment
remains conditionally favorable for supercells capable of all severe
hazards, including tornadoes. Potential exists for increasing
warm-sector storm coverage as the surface low and associated cold
front move eastward and the low-level flow increase overnight. The
overall environment is expected to remain supportive of supercells
with any deep warm-sector updrafts, and the potential for severe
thunderstorms is expected to persist throughout the night into early
Monday morning from southern LA northeast into central AL.
..Mosier.. 02/12/2024
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