Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0649 AM CST Sat Nov 25 2023
Valid 251300Z - 261200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected today or tonight.
...Synopsis/Discussion...
A southern-stream mid/upper-level trough will spread eastward from
the Four Corners area across the south-central Plains toward the
Ozarks and Lower Missouri Valley by late tonight. While cool/dry
continental trajectories will considerably limit convective
potential across the CONUS, some potential for elevated
thunderstorms may increase late tonight into early Sunday mainly
along the upper Texas coast and coastal Louisiana. This will be as
air mass modification occurs over the western Gulf of Mexico, with
modestly increasing moisture/ascent near and north of an evolving
warm front over the Gulf of Mexico. Overall thunderstorm
probabilities/coverage will likely remain marginal around the 10
percent forecast threshold, and no severe storms are expected.
..Guyer/Mosier.. 11/25/2023
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