LIVE MAP (ABOVE) ... Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0338 AM CST Mon Feb 20 2023
Valid 231200Z - 281200Z
...DISCUSSION...
Medium-range models show a dynamic pattern throughout the extended
period, but models are not currently showing appreciable buoyancy
developing over the central-eastern U.S. through at least Saturday
(day 6). Models generally show a mid-level low over the Desert
Southwest this weekend beginning to move east and emerge into the
southern Rockies/High Plains perhaps late Sunday (day 7). Some
signal (low confidence) is shown that a moist/warm sector may
develop over the south-central U.S. by late in the extended period.
Model variability at this timeframe substantial enough in terms of
moisture quality and timing of the ejecting system to preclude
severe probabilities.
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