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Archives for the SPC Convective Outlook are updated daily (approximately) with a live map at the beginning of each article. Follow the link at the end of the article to check for current updates on the NOAA/NWS Storm Prediction Center website. Also, see Archives for Chicago's hourly weather data on CARDINAL NEWS Magazine.

Thursday, October 6, 2022

SPC Oct 6, 2022 0600 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

LIVE MAP (ABOVE) ... SPC 0600Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1211 AM CDT Thu Oct 06 2022 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms are unlikely on Friday. ...Synopsis... A strong surface high will spread rapidly south and east across the central and eastern CONUS with a positive-tilt upper trough extending from the MS/OH Valleys into the Northeast. A surface low is forecast to move down the St. Lawrence Valley with a cold front surging east across New England during the day. Minimal instability is forecast ahead of the front, with wind profiles becoming unidirectional. This may support isolated weak convection across VT, NM and ME, but severe weather appears unlikely. Very cool midlevel temperatures could however favor small hail, with gusty/cold downdrafts. To the west, diurnal thunderstorms will remain possible mainly along the Mogollon Rim, southeast AZ, and parts of NM as a weak upper low remains stationary over the Gulf of California. Little flow aloft will favor disorganized storms, with the strongest instability over southern AZ possibly resulting in locally gusty winds. ..Jewell.. 10/06/2022 Read more CHECK UPDATE ZOOM GRAPHIC
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