SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0244 PM CDT Tue Sep 06 2022
Valid 062000Z - 071200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Organized severe thunderstorms are not expected through tonight.
...20Z Update...
Minor adjustments have been made to the general thunderstorm areas,
but otherwise no changes have been made to the outlook.
..Dean.. 09/06/2022
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1130 AM CDT Tue Sep 06 2022/
...Mid-Atlantic States...
This morning's isolated severe/brief tornado potential should
continue to diminish across the New Jersey coastal vicinity as
MCV-related forcing for ascent and moderately strong low-level
shear/SRH likewise shift eastward offshore ahead of the
eastward-moving surface low.
Elsewhere, a few stronger storms with gusty winds could occur this
afternoon in areas such as far eastern North Carolina. However, the
potential for severe-caliber storms should be tempered by weak
mid-level lapse rates/vertical shear.
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