SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0759 PM CDT Thu Sep 01 2022
Valid 020100Z - 021200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Organized severe thunderstorms are not forecast across the
contiguous United States through tonight.
...Discussion...
Water-vapor imagery early this evening shows a mid- to upper-level
trough over KS/OK moving slowly east before reaching the Ozarks by
early Friday morning. A localized risk for a strong thunderstorm or
two will likely remain confined to early this evening over parts of
western OK/TX Panhandle north into central KS. The Amarillo, TX and
Dodge City, KS 00 UTC raobs show weak buoyancy but modest 20-30 kt
mid-level northerlies---supporting marginal storm organization.
However, a gradually cooling boundary layer will lead to weakening
storms with time. Elsewhere, isolated thunderstorms are possible
this evening into the overnight across the northern Great Plains.
..Smith.. 09/02/2022
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