SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0225 AM CDT Sat Aug 06 2022
Valid 081200Z - 091200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Severe storms appear unlikely across the CONUS on Monday.
...Discussion...
A mean upper ridge will exist from the Four Corners to the Mid
Atlantic, providing warm temperatures aloft and weak winds. Only
20-30 kt midlevel westerlies will exist across the Great Lakes and
Northeast, the exception being ME where stronger speeds will exist
well north of a front. This front will extend roughly from OK to IL
to southern New England during the day, and a moist and unstable air
mass will exist south of it. Although dewpoints will average in the
65-70 F range along the front, warm temperatures aloft will minimize
MUCAPE, with values of only 500-1000 J/kg common. Scattered
afternoon storms will be possible along the front, with locally
strong gusts possible, but the severe threat appears low overall.
Elsewhere, isolated, non-severe afternoon storms may occur over
parts of OR within a weak surface trough, as midlevel moisture
increases ahead of an upper low off the West Coast.
..Jewell.. 08/06/2022
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