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Archives for the SPC Convective Outlook are updated daily (approximately) with a live map at the beginning of each article. Follow the link at the end of the article to check for current updates on the NOAA/NWS Storm Prediction Center website. Also, see Archives for Chicago's hourly weather data on CARDINAL NEWS Magazine.

Monday, May 16, 2022

SPC May 16, 2022 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0800 PM CDT Sun May 15 2022 Valid 160100Z - 161200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...FAR WESTERN ARKANSAS...AND FAR NORTH TEXAS... ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS INTO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE INTERIOR PACIFIC NORTHWEST... ...SUMMARY... Scattered to numerous severe storms with swaths of wind damage, very large hail, and a couple brief tornadoes remain possible through late evening across southeast Oklahoma into western Arkansas and north/northeast Texas. More isolated strong to severe storms remain possible this evening across the interior Pacific Northwest. ...Southeast Oklahoma into northeast Texas... A cluster of supercells have started to congeal across southern Oklahoma. These supercells have a history of producing very large hail, but may be transitioning into a greater severe wind threat as they move into north Texas this evening. These storms may persist into the overnight hours as the airmass ahead of them remains very unstable and moderately sheared per 00Z KFWD RAOB. Please see MCD 778 for additional details. ...Ohio Valley... A few strong to marginally severe storms may persist through the overnight hours across the Ohio Valley ahead of a cold front. ...Lower Mississippi Valley... A line of storms will continue southeast across Mississippi this evening. These storms will have the potential to be severe for another hour or two before the threat wanes by the late evening as inhibition increases and storms outrun the better deep-layer shear. ..Bentley.. 05/16/2022 Read more CHECK UPDATE ZOOM GRAPHIC