SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0947 AM CST Mon Feb 28 2022
Valid 281630Z - 011200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
A few thunderstorms are expected across parts of northern Florida
and southeast Georgia today.
...Synopsis...
Thunderstorm potential today will largely be limited for most of the
country amid modest height rises across the western/central CONUS
and persistent surface high pressure from the southern Plains into
the Northeast. Although somewhat poor mid/upper-level lapse rates
were sampled across northeast FL in 12Z soundings, thermal profiles
should improve through the day as a weak upper-level wave approaches
the region and cools temperatures aloft. Shallow convection is
already noted across northern FL this morning, and this activity
should gradually deepen through the day as profiles become more
supportive of deeper convection. Isolated thunderstorms across
northern FL should increase in coverage along the FL/GA coast late
this afternoon before moving offshore tonight.
..Thompson/Moore.. 02/28/2022
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