SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0124 PM CST Fri Feb 25 2022
Valid 252000Z - 261200Z
...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms are not expected across the continental United States
through tonight.
...Discussion...
No change.
..Smith.. 02/25/2022
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0957 AM CST Fri Feb 25 2022/
...Synopsis...
A surface cold front will continue to move slowly southeastward
across AL/GA/Carolinas, in the wake of a midlevel trough moving
across the Mid Atlantic/New England today. Weak elevated convection
and isolated lightning strikes have been observed this morning from
the southern Appalachians into AL, though the trend has been for
this convection to slowly diminish since 15z. Given only marginal
buoyancy rooted in the 850-700 mb layer (per the 12z BMX sounding)
and weakening forcing for ascent through the day, the prospects for
additional thunderstorms beyond 1630z from AL/GA into the Carolinas
appear too limited to warrant the addition of an outlook area.
Read more CHECK UPDATE ZOOM GRAPHIC
http://dlvr.it/SKgZ0b
