SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1015 AM CST Mon Jan 10 2022
Valid 101630Z - 111200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
A few thunderstorms are expected across central and south Florida,
mainly this afternoon/evening.
...FL...
Visible satellite imagery shows mostly clear skies across central
and south FL today, where strong heating and dewpoints in the
mid-upper 60s will promote moderate afternoon MLCAPE. Mid-level
temperatures are cool (-14C at 500mb), further aiding in the degree
of instability. Scattered afternoon showers and thunderstorms are
expected to develop over the east-central and southeastern
peninsula, perhaps aided by sea-breeze interactions. Vertical shear
is weak, limiting much severe threat. Nevertheless, the strongest
updrafts may produce small hail and/or gusty winds. Considered a
small MRGL east of the lake between MLB and MIA, but the very small
area and weak vertical shear limit confidence in the severe risk.
..Hart.. 01/10/2022
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