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Weather conditions on bar directly above are near Lakefront. Weather conditions with Moon are O'Hare (official).

Wednesday, November 24, 2021

SPC Nov 24, 2021 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0144 PM CST Wed Nov 24 2021 Valid 242000Z - 251200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are possible this evening and overnight from parts of the southern Plains into the Ozarks and mid Mississippi Valley. ...20z Update... The previous outlook remains on track and no changes are needed with the 20z update. See previous discussion below for forecast details. ..Leitman.. 11/24/2021 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1031 AM CST Wed Nov 24 2021/ ...East/southeast Texas and southern Plains/Ozarks... Influenced by amplifying belts of split westerlies, a southeastward-moving cold front will approach the region late tonight/early Thanksgiving morning. A relatively moist air mass preceding the front along with increasing forcing for ascent including frontal uplift will contribute to increasing thunderstorm coverage from late-evening onward, initially across eastern Oklahoma and north Texas including the DFW Metroplex vicinity, and subsequently broader parts of the Ozarks/ArkLaTex and east/southeast Texas overnight. It is possible that a few stronger/more organized storms may materialize late tonight across a broad part of east-central/southeast Texas including the I-35/I-45 vicinities. This would be influenced by thunderstorms occurring immediately near the front and perhaps within a zone of pre-frontal confluence where boundary layer inhibition will be relatively weak. While sufficient, albeit modest, buoyancy and moderately strong low-level/deep-layer shear could support some weak/transient supercells and other semi-organized storms capable of small hail/gusty winds, the potential for severe thunderstorms is currently expected to remain low. Read more LIVE: spc.noaa.gov