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Archives for the SPC Convective Outlook are updated daily (approximately) with a live map at the beginning of each article. Follow the link at the end of the article to check for current updates on the NOAA/NWS Storm Prediction Center website. Also, see Archives for Chicago's hourly weather data on CARDINAL NEWS Magazine.

Thursday, September 30, 2021

SPC Oct 1, 2021 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0743 PM CDT Thu Sep 30 2021 Valid 010100Z - 011200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... Scattered strong storms, a few possibly severe, will continue this evening from southwestern Texas toward the DFW Metroplex. Gusty winds and marginally severe hail are the primary threats. ...TX... Upper troughing has settled into the southwestern States this evening with one notable short-wave trough ejecting across the southern High Plains. This feature appears partly responsible for scattered convection that currently extends from the international border in Val Verde County, northeast across McCulloch into Erath County. This activity should continue to propagate slowly east this evening where buoyancy has yet to be overturned. 00z sounding from DRT exhibited 3000 J/kg MLCAPE while FWD was considerably less unstable if lifting an elevated parcel north of the frontal zone. Deep-layer flow appears sufficient for organized multicell updrafts and gusty winds and hail remain the primary threats. Over the next few hours the main corridor of strong convection should extend from north of DRT-Brady-FTW. ..Darrow.. 10/01/2021 Read more LIVE: spc.noaa.gov
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