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Archives for the SPC Convective Outlook are updated daily (approximately) with a live map at the beginning of each article. Follow the link at the end of the article to check for current updates on the NOAA/NWS Storm Prediction Center website. Also, see Archives for Chicago's hourly weather data on CARDINAL NEWS Magazine.

Friday, May 28, 2021

SPC May 29, 2021 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0800 PM CDT Fri May 28 2021 Valid 290100Z - 291200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS WEST/SOUTHWEST TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms with very large hail, damaging winds, and a couple tornadoes remain possible through tonight across far eastern New Mexico and west/southwest Texas to parts of south-central/southeast Texas. ...Eastern New Mexico and west/south-central/southeast Texas... A severe-active evening will continue across the region in association with a moist/unstable environment. Semi-discrete supercells with continued large hail and some tornado/wind risk will persist this evening particularly across the Permian Basin. Other upscale-growing bowing complexes, such as along the New Mexico/Texas border as well as south-central/southeast Texas, will likely develop south-southeastward tonight with a continued damaging wind/sporadic hail risk. ...North Carolina/southern Virginia and Southeast States... A strong storm or two remains a possibility this evening primarily across far southern Virginia and northern North Carolinas. However, as the boundary layer cools, overall convective intensity should gradually wane this evening across a broad part of the Mid-Atlantic/Southeast States. ...Southeast Montana/far northeast Wyoming... The environment will remain favorable for a couple of severe storms capable of hail/wind in the short term across the region, but a general weakening trend is likely occur into mid/late evening as storms spread closer to the border of the western Dakota and encounter a cooling/stabilizing boundary layer. ..Guyer.. 05/29/2021 Read more LIVE: