Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1214 AM CDT Sat Oct 17 2026
Valid 171200Z - 181200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected today.
...Synopsis...
In the wake of a cold frontal passage, much of the CONUS will be too
dry and stable for thunderstorm development today. The front will
continue moving southward along the central/southern FL Peninsula,
where scattered storm development will be possible within a very
moist environment. Poor lapse rates and weak deep-layer shear should
limit organized severe potential, though localized strong gusts may
occur. Across the Southwest, sporadic lightning flashes may
accompany weak convection associated with a slow-moving mid/upper
low centered offshore of Baja California.
..Dean/Chalmers.. 10/17/2026
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