Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0657 PM CST Thu Mar 05 2026
Valid 060100Z - 061200Z
...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE
EASTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE INTO WESTERN OKLAHOMA...
...SUMMARY...
Scattered severe thunderstorms remain possible this evening from the
eastern Texas Panhandle into western Oklahoma and southern/central
Kansas. Large hail, a couple tornadoes, and severe/damaging winds
are possible.
...Discussion...
Scattered strong cells are evolving across the eastern TX Panhandle
and western OK, where moisture and instability continue to develop
northward. Storms have been slow to get organized/sustained due to
weak low-level convergence, but several severe storms appear likely
this evening as the low-level jet increases and the environment
remains favorable. The 00Z AMA soundings shows a supercell wind
profile with substantial instability, supporting both large hail and
tornado potential.
Additional/isolated storms cannot be ruled out south of the Enhanced
Risk area, as the environment remains unstable with minimal
inhibition.
..Jewell.. 03/06/2026
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