Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1136 PM CST Sun Feb 08 2026
Valid 091200Z - 101200Z
...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms potential appears negligible through tonight.
...Discussion...
A quiescent pattern for thunderstorm potential is anticipated today
into tonight. One exception may be across parts of the Northwest,
amid steep mid-level lapse rates in the wake of a low-amplitude
shortwave trough crossing the northern Rockies to the adjacent High
Plains. Most guidance indicates isolated to widely scattered
low-topped convection, mainly in the form of snow showers, at peak
afternoon heating over the higher terrain of central ID to the
Yellowstone vicinity. Buoyancy will be minimal, and in combination
with weakly forced ascent/cool surface temperatures, thunderstorm
probabilities still appear to be less than 10 percent.
..Grams.. 02/09/2026
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