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Archives for the SPC Convective Outlook are updated daily (approximately) with a live map at the beginning of each article. Follow the link at the end of the article to check for current updates on the NOAA/NWS Storm Prediction Center website. Also, see Archives for Chicago's hourly weather data on CARDINAL NEWS Magazine.

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Sunday, February 1, 2026

SPC Feb 2, 2026 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

LIVE MAP (ABOVE) ... SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook


Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0642 PM CST Sun Feb 01 2026

Valid 020100Z - 021200Z

...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorm potential appears low through tonight.

...Synopsis...
Cool, dry, and stable conditions are noted across the country this
evening per 00z RAOBs. With a synoptic regime in place that is
unfavorable for destabilization, thunderstorm potential appears
minimal. One exception to this is along/west of the Cascades in the
Pacific Northwest where occasional lightning flashes have been
observed in recent hours. Regional 00z soundings did sample weak
buoyancy, but this will quickly diminish in the coming hours with
the onset of nocturnal cooling. As such, any additional lightning
potential is expected to be short-lived and should wane rapidly
through the late evening.

..Moore.. 02/02/2026


Read more CHECK UPDATE ZOOM GRAPHIC


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CHICAGO UTC-5 during CDT (Daylight Savings Time, e.g., summer)