Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0143 PM CST Tue Jan 06 2026
Valid 062000Z - 071200Z
...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected through tonight.
...20Z Update...
No changes to the ongoing forecast.
..Wendt.. 01/06/2026
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1017 AM CST Tue Jan 06 2026/
...Discussion...
A progressive upper-flow pattern will continue over the CONUS with
some amplification occurring through tonight within split flow over
the West. Convective potential will be essentially nil over the
CONUS.
A southern-stream shortwave trough off the coast of California will
spread southeastward toward Baja, with any related
thunderstorm-conducive environment expected to remain well offshore.
Multiple shortwave troughs will cross or approach the Pacific
Northwest tonight. Cooling mid-level temperatures may contribute to
weak buoyancy and some potential for a few lightning flashes, but
such potential is likely to remain below 10 percent.
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