Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1141 PM CST Thu Jan 29 2026
Valid 301200Z - 311200Z
...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms are not expected today or tonight.
...Synopsis/Discussion...
A longwave trough will remain steadfast east of the Rockies, with
upper ridging prevalent over much of the West aside from a few
ridge-riding shortwave troughs over the Pacific Northwest and
Canadian Rockies. Surface cyclogenesis is expected late tonight off
the coastal south Atlantic, with the expectation that convection
will also increase offshore in vicinity of the Gulf Stream overnight
through early Saturday morning. However, it appears that lightning
flash potential will remain limited (less than 10 percent) for the
near-coastal areas of the Carolinas.
..Guyer/Wendt.. 01/30/2026
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