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Archives for the SPC Convective Outlook are updated daily (approximately) with a live map at the beginning of each article. Follow the link at the end of the article to check for current updates on the NOAA/NWS Storm Prediction Center website. Also, see Archives for Chicago's hourly weather data on CARDINAL NEWS Magazine.

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Sunday, January 18, 2026

SPC Jan 18, 2026 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

LIVE MAP (ABOVE) ... SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook


Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1014 AM CST Sun Jan 18 2026

Valid 181630Z - 191200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not forecast across the U.S. today or
tonight.

...Discussion including South Florida...
A longwave trough will remain prominent east of the Rockies, with an
embedded shortwave trough crossing the Southeast, in addition to
multiple clipper-type troughs over the Upper Midwest. The potential
for isolated thunderstorms will exist across the far southern
Florida Peninsula and near the Keys to the south of a cold front,
somewhat enhanced by diurnal heating and a moist pre-frontal air
mass with lower 70s F surface dewpoints. However, most of the
thunderstorm potential should focus offshore, and that will
particularly be the case by late today as low-level winds veer and
the front progresses offshore.

..Guyer/Moore.. 01/18/2026


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CHICAGO UTC-6 during CST (Central Standard Time, e.g., winter)
CHICAGO UTC-5 during CDT (Daylight Savings Time, e.g., summer)