Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1031 PM CST Tue Jan 13 2026
Valid 141200Z - 151200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Isolated thunderstorms are possible across southeast Florida and the
Keys today.
...Synopsis...
A large-scale upper trough will deepen and pivot eastward over the
eastern half of the CONUS today. An embedded shortwave within the
base of the large-scale trough will move across the eastern Gulf and
FL today. This will provide large-scale ascent atop a stalled
frontal boundary across the southern FL Peninsula. Adequate moisture
will support modest buoyancy. However, lackluster lapse rates/warm
temperatures through the midlevels will preclude strong-storm
potential, though a few lightning flashes will be possible.
..Leitman/Lyons.. 01/14/2026
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