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Archives for the SPC Convective Outlook are updated daily (approximately) with a live map at the beginning of each article. Follow the link at the end of the article to check for current updates on the NOAA/NWS Storm Prediction Center website. Also, see Archives for Chicago's hourly weather data on CARDINAL NEWS Magazine.

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O'Hare International Airport KORD (Arlington Heights South)
Chicago Executive Airport KPWK (Arlington Heights North)

Monday, December 15, 2025

SPC Dec 15, 2025 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

LIVE MAP (ABOVE) ... SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook


Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1127 PM CST Sun Dec 14 2025

Valid 151200Z - 161200Z

...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorm probabilities are low today.

...Pacific Northwest...

100+kt 500mb speed max is forecast to translate inland along the
WA/OR coast around 16/00z. Low-amplitude short-wave trough will
induce strong height falls near the international border ahead of
this feature, coincident with a notable surface front that will
surge inland after 21z. While profiles will cool and steepen at
midlevels, forecast soundings are not particularly buoyant either
side of the trough, and the prospect for deep convection capable of
generating lightning appears low. While the thunderstorm potential
appears low, weak midlevel convection is possible and a flash or two
can not be ruled out. This, however, does not warrant a categorical
risk for thunderstorms during the day1 period.

..Darrow/Wendt.. 12/15/2025


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