Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1014 AM CST Tue Feb 25 2025
Valid 251630Z - 261200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Isolated thunderstorms are possible from the northern/central Plains
and western Colorado this afternoon and evening. Severe
thunderstorms are not anticipated.
...Northern and Central Plains...
Clusters of high-based showers will affect much of the northern and
central Plains this afternoon and evening. Relatively dry low-level
conditions will limit instability, with CAPE values near-zero.
However, forecast soundings show cold temperature aloft, and
sufficiently deep layers of steep lapse rates to maintain some risk
of a few lightning flashes. It is unclear whether any areas will
see sufficient coverage of thunderstorms to warrant 10% coverage,
but will maintain TSTM areas where 12z model guidance is most
confident.
..Hart.. 02/25/2025
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