Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1124 PM CST Mon Jan 13 2025
Valid 141200Z - 151200Z
...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms are not expected.
...Discussion...
Weak low-latitude disturbance over Mexico will approach deep south
TX later today. In response to this feature, a north-south surface
boundary will be maintained just off the south TX/Mexican Gulf
Coast. Little movement is expected with this boundary through the
period, but low-level warm advection should persist along the cool
side of the boundary where profiles are expected to remain fairly
moist, but mid-level buoyancy should prove weak. Forecast soundings
exhibit weak instability and parcels should remain too inhibited to
warrant any meaningful risk for sustained deep convection capable of
generating lightning.
..Darrow/Squitieri.. 01/14/2025
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